Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.001602 0.001702 0.001805 0.001920 0.002044 0.002174 0.002321
2025-02-23 0.001452 0.001593 0.001744 0.001919 0.002116 0.002333 0.002589
2025-03-02 0.001316 0.001478 0.001656 0.001869 0.002117 0.002399 0.002745
2025-03-09 0.001219 0.001394 0.001592 0.001835 0.002126 0.002465 0.002895
2025-03-16 0.001155 0.001343 0.001560 0.001832 0.002164 0.002563 0.003083
2025-03-23 0.001093 0.001289 0.001518 0.001811 0.002178 0.002628 0.003229
2025-03-30 0.001045 0.001247 0.001489 0.001803 0.002203 0.002705 0.003390
2025-04-06 0.000994 0.001200 0.001449 0.001778 0.002204 0.002749 0.003509
2025-04-13 0.000946 0.001153 0.001408 0.001748 0.002196 0.002778 0.003607
2025-04-20 0.000889 0.001092 0.001345 0.001686 0.002143 0.002744 0.003615
2025-04-27 0.000869 0.001079 0.001342 0.001703 0.002193 0.002850 0.003821
2025-05-04 0.000858 0.001075 0.001352 0.001735 0.002265 0.002989 0.004080
2025-05-11 0.000856 0.001086 0.001382 0.001802 0.002393 0.003218 0.004496
2025-05-18 0.000827 0.001059 0.001363 0.001799 0.002423 0.003311 0.004720
2025-05-25 0.000784 0.001012 0.001314 0.001752 0.002388 0.003308 0.004794
2025-06-01 0.000750 0.000976 0.001277 0.001720 0.002373 0.003332 0.004911
2025-06-08 0.000728 0.000955 0.001261 0.001717 0.002399 0.003418 0.005130
2025-06-15 0.000702 0.000927 0.001235 0.001698 0.002400 0.003465 0.005289
2025-06-22 0.000681 0.000907 0.001218 0.001690 0.002417 0.003536 0.005491
2025-06-29 0.000657 0.000880 0.001191 0.001667 0.002409 0.003567 0.005626
2025-07-06 0.000633 0.000853 0.001161 0.001640 0.002391 0.003582 0.005733
2025-07-13 0.000601 0.000814 0.001114 0.001583 0.002326 0.003514 0.005688
2025-07-20 0.000592 0.000808 0.001114 0.001598 0.002376 0.003639 0.005999